Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020214 0.021856 0.023568 0.025487 0.027579 0.029792 0.032313
2025-09-14 0.017384 0.019740 0.022330 0.025394 0.028926 0.032880 0.037651
2025-09-21 0.015399 0.018127 0.021245 0.025086 0.029705 0.035098 0.041901
2025-09-28 0.014142 0.017139 0.020679 0.025184 0.030791 0.037576 0.046457
2025-10-05 0.013057 0.016221 0.020059 0.025085 0.031530 0.039570 0.050439
2025-10-12 0.012249 0.015556 0.019665 0.025183 0.032451 0.041772 0.054748
2025-10-19 0.011555 0.014968 0.019304 0.025260 0.033299 0.043873 0.058997
2025-10-26 0.010885 0.014356 0.018854 0.025163 0.033873 0.045599 0.062794
2025-11-02 0.010333 0.013857 0.018510 0.025167 0.034551 0.047465 0.066858
2025-11-09 0.009705 0.013215 0.017928 0.024791 0.034655 0.048509 0.069772
2025-11-16 0.009106 0.012577 0.017309 0.024317 0.034573 0.049254 0.072255
2025-11-23 0.008656 0.012119 0.016914 0.024130 0.034878 0.050550 0.075608
2025-11-30 0.008217 0.011670 0.016527 0.023962 0.035242 0.052017 0.079420
2025-12-07 0.007822 0.011264 0.016183 0.023840 0.035672 0.053612 0.083550
2025-12-14 0.007411 0.010813 0.015747 0.023548 0.035813 0.054755 0.087014
2025-12-21 0.007137 0.010549 0.015571 0.023638 0.036542 0.056844 0.092136
2025-12-28 0.006836 0.010230 0.015292 0.023546 0.036967 0.058456 0.096549
2026-01-04 0.006603 0.010001 0.015137 0.023637 0.037683 0.060570 0.101937
2026-01-11 0.006381 0.009777 0.014979 0.023709 0.038363 0.062649 0.107386
2026-01-18 0.006138 0.009507 0.014732 0.023619 0.038761 0.064263 0.112099
2026-01-25 0.005930 0.009285 0.014549 0.023622 0.039310 0.066156 0.117427
2026-02-01 0.005661 0.008950 0.014168 0.023272 0.039225 0.066929 0.120723
2026-02-08 0.005390 0.008600 0.013747 0.022830 0.038953 0.067345 0.123358